East Timor - Again?

A serious situation is potentially unfolding just to our North.

E Timor border at 'flashpoint'

A MOB backed by Indonesian troops has crossed into East Timor, attacked a border patrol and set fire to buildings, threatening the fragile peace between the two nations.

The incident on Saturday in the Oecussi enclave, detailed in a UN cable seen by The Australian, poses a nightmare scenario for Canberra.

The cable - sent on Monday by UN chief in East Timor Sukehiro Hasegawa to head of peacekeeping operations Jean Marie Guehenno in New York - accuses the Indonesian military (TNI) of provoking multiple border violations in Oecussi.

Mr Hasegawa says he received a telephone call from East Timorese Foreign Minister Jose Ramos Horta threatening to pull out of the CTF. "Horta did not hide his anger as he found arrogance and intransigence in the behaviour of some TNI elements and inability of the government to control them."
Is Indonesia about to do something completely insane? Or are these the actions of a military that's about to make some foriegn policy decisions of its own (with all that implies)?

We may well have a very serious situation unfolding here; I'm certainly not counting on the UN to do much about it.

Update: some interesting developments. . .

EAST Timor has rejected reports a mob backed by Indonesian troops crossed
into the country, attacked a border patrol and set fire to buildings,
threatening peace between the two nations.

East Timor Foreign Minister Jose Ramos-Horta said the violence in the Oecussi region was the result of civilian disputes over land and was not caused by pro-Indonesian militia. He said on ABC radio East Timor was confident it had the Indonesian military's full co-operation in securing the border between the two countries. "The Indonesia side obviously is acting in good faith," Mr Ramos-Horta said. "We have the greatest faith in President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono."

Yes, but does the TNI?

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