-- R.G. Menzies
LIBERTARIAN/CONSERVATIVE DIGEST AND COMMENTARY FROM AN ACADEMIC PSYCHOLOGIST in Brisbane, Australia. My academic publications are widely read
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'Thirty years from complete catastrophe': Admiral claims human civilisation will end as we know it in 2050
Prophecies of doom are as old as the hills, and they are always wrong. And theres no science in this one. Warmer oceans would mean more rain -- with vast beneficial effects. But they say a warmer earth will be in drought -- "desertification". They haven't got a blind clue. Though you may be consoled to hear that their "report" was endorsed by former Australian defence chief Admiral Chris Barrie. It takes an admiral ....
And a couple of degrees of warming would do nothing. I was born and bred in the tropics -- where temperatures were often up to ten degrees warmer than the global average. And our civilization was unaffected. Though we did drink a lot of cold beer
There is a high likelihood that human civilisation as we know it will come to an end by 2050.
That's according to a policy paper, Existential Climate-related security risk, which predicts more than half of world's population will face lethal heat conditions beyond the threshold of human survivability.
It says desertification could be severe in southern Africa, the southern Mediterranean, west Asia, the Middle East, inland Australia and across the south-western United States.
The report said a number of ecosystems, including coral reef, the Amazon rainforest and the Arctic, will collapse by 2050.
'Even for 2C of warming, more than a billion people may need to be relocated and in high-end scenarios, the scale of destruction is beyond our capacity to model, with a high likelihood of human civilisation coming to an end,' it said.
These scenarios were presented by David Spratt, the research director for Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration in Melbourne, and Ian Dunlop, former chairman of the Australian Coal Association and chair of the Australian Greenhouse Office Experts Group on Emissions Trading.
They said the social consequences of climate change range from 'increased religious fervor to outright chaos.'
'The flooding of coastal communities around the world, especially in the Netherlands, the United States, South Asia, and China, has the potential to challenge regional and even national identities,' they warned.
'Armed conflict between nations over resources, such as the Nile and its tributaries, is likely and nuclear war is possible.'
They have presented scenarios for three periods from 2020 to 2030, 2030 to 2050 and 2050. According to their report, by 2030 policy-makers will fail to act on evidence and prevent growing greenhouse gas emissions.
'While sea levels have risen 0.5 metres by 2050, the increase may be 2 to 3 metres by 2100, and it is understood from historical analogues that seas may eventually rise by more than 25 metres,' the report said.
'Thirty-five percent of the global land area, and 55 percent of the global population, are subject to more than 20 days a year of lethal heat conditions, beyond the threshold of human survivability.'
By JR on Sunday, June 09, 2019
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